A convergence of forces is presenting new
challenges to the newspaper business. While advertising price increases have allowed
newspaper revenues to continue to rise, in recent years competition from the Internet
and other media has slowed the rate of revenue growth.
Newspaper profit margins peaked in the
late-1980s at about 23%, Mr. Morton says, and have fallen as low as 11% during
recessions. "Newspapers, although they still remain the dominant local advertising
vehicles, have lost some of their market power."
Some traditional, big-ticket advertisers are
changing their habits. Department-store chains, which have long been major advertisers,
are consolidating and cutting their newspaper ad spending, according to Borrell
Associates Inc., which provides advertising advice to media companies. Local car
dealers, another big source of revenue, are switching more of their ad spending to the
Web to reach car buyers online.
Newspapers' classified-ad business -- a major
source of revenue for many papers for decades -- also faces competitors on the Web. One
is Craigslist, an online classified service operating in 190 markets, which allows users
to post free ads for jobs, housing, goods and services. Craigslist makes money by
charging for employment listings in three of its markets -- New York, San Francisco and
Los Angeles. Sites such as Monster.com, where people look for jobs and workers, and
eBay.com, where consumers buy and sell items, also compete with newspaper classified
ads.
Meanwhile, the proliferation of free news on
the Internet, increased television viewing and changing habits of Americans have
diminished newspaper circulation. Daily U.S. newspaper circulation fell 2% to 54.6
million in 2004, the most recent year available, from 55.8 million in 2000, according to
the Newspaper Association of America. Daily circulation is down 13% from its peak of
62.8 million in 1985, the trade group says.
Last week, Knight Ridder Inc., the nation's
second-largest newspaper chain, said it agreed to be sold to McClatchy Co., a newspaper
chain one-third its size, in a transaction valued at $6.5 billion. McClatchy Chief
Executive Gary Pruitt wrote in a Wall Street Journal opinion-page piece last week that
investors' concerns about the industry allowed his company to buy Knight Ridder for "a
price that would have seemed an unimaginable bargain only a few years ago."
In this environment, newspapers are trying
innovative ways to protect their business. Consider the Bakersfield Californian, an
independent, family-owned paper in central California. When executives heard Craigslist
was coming to town last year, they decided to launch their own classified Web site --
and make it free.
Radical Idea
This was a radical idea. For the Californian,
classified ads comprised 40% of its newspaper revenue. But Richard Beene, the
Californian's chief executive, felt the paper had to make the change. "If we do nothing
and newspapers do nothing, we're going to die of a thousand little cuts," he says.
Newspapers are hoping that the Internet will
help them capture new readers and advertisers at a low cost. Alexia Quadrani, an analyst
with Bear Stearns, says that newspapers' online revenues, although small, could be a
growth engine for the future. "The Internet is an area where newspapers could protect
and gain market share over time, and this ultimately could help the newspaper stocks,"
she wrote in a report last fall.
To tap this market, chains such as McClatchy
and E.W. Scripps Co. are taking a page from Google's playbook. Using technology from a
company called Planet Discover, based in Covington, Ky., the chains have been beefing up
the local search engines on some of their newspapers' Web sites.
The goal is to sell ads near the search
results, as Google and Yahoo do. But instead of competing head-on with the giant search
engines, newspapers are offering search engines that focus on local results.
McClatchy is experimenting with offering
flat-rate fees starting at $50 a month for advertisers that want their ads to pop up
first alongside search results. By contrast, advertisers must bid for spots on Yahoo and
Google and agree to pay a certain amount for each user who clicks on their ad.
"We want to help advertisers secure space in
the local marketplace for less money," says Christian Hendricks, McClatchy's vice
president of interactive media. McClatchy, which has rolled out the search service in
nine of its 12 newspaper markets, has set its sights first on local advertisers that
spend a lot of money on the yellow pages, and then will move to other categories. "By
the end of the year, it will be the fastest-growing segment of our business," he says.
The local search engines are designed to give
readers more than just links to newspaper articles. "It used to be that you would search
for 'pizza' on a newspaper site and the first thing you got was a story about a pizza
guy who was killed during a delivery," says Bob Benz, general manager of interactive
media for Scripps Newspapers. Now, a search for "pizza" on the Scripps-owned Rocky
Mountain News Web site, for instance, brings up news articles mentioning pizza -- as
well as listings for Denver-area pizza parlors, classified ads selling pizza ovens and
jobs at local pizza joints.
Newspapers are also trying to attract new
readers and niche advertisers the old-fashioned way -- with print publications.
Companies with fewer than 100 employees spend only about 15% of their ad budgets on
traditional newspapers, compared with 39% on yellow-pages ads, according to the Kelsey
Group, a market-research firm.
"Newspapers are leaving so much money on the
table in local markets," says Michael P. Smith, executive director of the Media
Management Center at Northwestern University.
Last year, the Orange County Register began
delivering a free glossy magazine called SqueezeOC to the homes of 60,000 people it has
identified as the "young wealthy" -- those ages 25 to 44, with incomes of at least
$150,000, who don't subscribe to the paper. The magazine has attracted advertisers such
as bars and restaurants that don't typically advertise in newspapers, the company says.
A full-page color ad in SqueezeOC costs about $4,000, while a full-page color ad in the
daily paper costs about $17,000.
In 2002, Tribune Co., publisher of the Chicago
Tribune and New York Newsday, launched RedEye, a Chicago tabloid aimed at those ages 18
to 34. A year later, Tribune backed a similar paper called amNewYork. These free papers
run short news articles, with an emphasis on features and local entertainment listings.
Chicago resident Alison Coppelman, 29, says
she picks up RedEye nearly every morning when she buys coffee. "It's an easier read"
than mainstream daily newspapers, she says. "It's much more visual. The front page is a
gigantic picture instead of being hit with a bunch of text immediately."
Tribune says the two tabloids, which it
expects to break even this year, have attracted more than 1,500 advertisers that hadn't
advertised in its larger dailies. Ads in RedEye, which has a daily circulation of
100,000, cost about one-sixth the price of ads in the Tribune -- reflecting the fact
that the Tribune's circulation is about six times the size of the tabloid's.
Cosi Inc., a Deerfield, Ill., sandwich chain,
says it spends its national advertising budget mostly in commuter tabloids. "Big papers
are just financially not doable for us," says Jill Lawrence, Cosi's senior marketing
director. "The smaller commuter-type papers are cost-effective and we get more bang for
our buck." She says Cosi spends about $3,000 for a two-week campaign of ads in RedEye.
To boost its presence in local markets,
Gannett Co., the nation's largest newspaper publisher, is increasing its number of
specialty publications. These are usually free weekly papers, targeted at niche readers,
in areas near its large daily papers. Gannett has nearly 1,000 such publications, up
from just above 200 in 2000. In Arizona, for instance, Gannett says roughly half of the
adults in Phoenix read its Arizona Republic daily paper at least once a week. But
including people who read its Web site, Spanish-language newspapers or its free
coupon-filled "shoppers," Gannett says it reaches 76% of Phoenix adults weekly.
Sue Clark-Johnson, president of Gannett's
Newspaper Division, said in December at an analyst conference that revenues from the
company's "nondaily" publications would be up nearly 13% in 2005 and were expected to
rise again "in the teens" in 2006. (Gannett doesn't break out profitability of this
segment.) "This opens up good opportunity for new revenues from new businesses; it
reduces reliance on major national accounts," she said.
Another Big Change
In another big change, newspapers are
experimenting with free classified ads for individuals. Classified ads have long been a
major source of revenue for many papers.
In May, Knight Ridder began offering free
classifieds online to individuals at all of its newspapers, including the Miami Herald
and the San Jose Mercury News in California. The idea is to attract a bigger audience to
the classifieds, and then try to sell other services such as upgraded placement of ads.
"This is not about making money. This is about
growing readership," says Scott Whitley, advertising director of Copley Press Inc.'s San
Diego Union-Tribune, which since August has offered three lines of classifieds free both
in the newspaper and on its Web site. He says the paper hopes that as young people find
their ads are successful, they will start reading newspapers more regularly.
At the Bakersfield Californian, the paper
found that its free classifieds Web site, launched last year, turned out to have an
unexpected benefit. As local musicians began using the free site to find band members
and equipment, or to advertise gigs, the site attracted a younger crowd that hadn't
advertised in the newspaper before and didn't appear to be cannibalizing the newspaper's
paid classifieds, the company says. The Californian doesn't make money on the Web site
now, but plans to start running paid ads from businesses on the site later this year.
The Californian says its site, called "Bakotopia,"
attracts between 4,000 and 5,000 visitors a day -- compared with the paper's daily
circulation of 65,000. It plans to launch another free classifieds site, aimed at a
broader market.
"We decided if we're going to grow, we have to
go with the audience, so if the audience goes to digital or niche publications we have
to go there," says Mr. Beene, the paper's CEO. "Our margins are going to be slim and
we're going to be losing money on some of these."
Trying to lure smaller advertisers, the
Californian launched two niche newspapers last year: a free paper targeted at suburbs
called Northwest Voice and a weekly newspaper called Mas, aimed at English-speaking
Hispanics with higher incomes.
Northwest Voice has already turned a profit --
largely because it consists mainly of reader-contributed columns and photographs. It is
picking up advertisers that can't afford the Californian's rates, companies "low to the
ground," says the Californian's vice president of sales and marketing, John Wells.
Joe Rueda, the owner of Elliott's Smog and
Repair, an auto shop, says he advertises in Mas because he can't afford the yellow pages
or the Californian. He pays $280 a month for two 1/8-page ads per month in Mas. The
same-size ad in the Bakersfield Californian, twice a month, would cost $775.
Aside from the lower cost, the imprimatur of
the Californian gave him confidence in Mas, he says. "Maybe it being part of the
Bakersfield Californian, it's got a chance to survive," he says.
Next month, the paper plans to launch another
community paper aimed at southwest suburbs. Executives hope "noncore" products, such as
the Hispanic and free publications will contribute 20% to 25% of the company's revenues
in five years, up from a projected 8.1% in 2006.
Pressure on the Californian to generate new
sources of revenue is growing. Earlier this year, one of Bakersfield's largest
department stores -- the Robinsons-May store -- closed its doors, after its parent, May
Department Stores Co., was acquired by Federated Department Stores Inc. In the year
before its closure, Robinsons-May bought a full-page ad every week, bringing more than
$500,000 in revenue. Mergers in other industries cost the paper four other advertisers
last year, Mr. Wells says.
Meanwhile, the paper continues to defend its
traditional turf against local competitors, such as country-music legend Buck Owens, a
Bakersfield native who co-hosted CBS's "Hee Haw" in the 1970s. Mr. Owens operates a free
publication called Camera Ads that gets much of the ad dollars of Bakersfield's used-car
dealers. The Californian attempted to replicate it a few years ago, but its product
didn't catch on.
"We don't have a product for the dirt-lot
dealers," Mr. Wells says. "They can't afford the Bakersfield Californian. That's our
challenge right now."
Mr. Owens, who also owns a radio station and
plays guitar weekly at his restaurant in Bakersfield, says he's not worried about
competition from the Californian. "We're not trying to do anything but have a classy
magazine," he says.
Mr. Beene says newspapers have to accept lower
profit margins or else they will end up like struggling U.S. car makers "They keep
building high-margin vehicles like big trucks, but their overall market share is
dwindling. That's a losing game," he says. "I want to be Toyota."